auto dealer in black and red logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged

While the industry welcomed the Fed’s 7-3 decision not to raise interest rates a quarter point, market watchers say even a full percentage-point increase wouldn’t impact the current pace of auto sales. The Fed is still expected to raise rates a quarter point by the end of the year.

by Eric Gandarilla
September 22, 2016
3 min to read


WASHINGTON, D.C. — In a 7-3 decision, the Federal Reserve elected to keep interest rates at the 0.25% to 0.50% level it has maintained since the last interest rate hike in December of 2015.

In a statement following its decision, the Federal Open Market Committee noted that although job gains have been solid and household spending has been growing, business fixed investments have remained soft. The committee also cited inflation running below expected levels as a contributing factor to its decision.

“The committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened, but decided, for the time being, to wait for further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives,” the statement read.

A matter of when to increase the federal interest rate was the root of the 7-3 split, according to the statement. The three dissenters, Esther L. George, Loretta J. Mester, and Eric Rosengren, wanted to hike the federal interest rate to 0.50% to 0.75% during this week’s meeting. However, the seven committee members who voted in favor of maintaining the current interest rate — Janet L. Yellen; William C. Dudley; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Stanley Fischer; Jerome H. Powell; and Daniel K. Tarullo — said they wanted to wait until the economy was more in line with their expectations.

The Fed is still expected to increase the federal interest rate by a quarter of a percentage by the end of the year. One economist believes that although the committee’s next meeting will be in November, it will wait until its final meeting of the year in December to raise the federal funds rate.

“The committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run,” the Fed’s statement read. “However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.”

When the Fed raised interest rates last December, J.D. Power surveyed consumers on whether they believed an interest rate hike would be good for the economy. Third-six percent of respondents — the majority of which were from older generations that have seen firsthand what interest rate hikes mean — believed an interest rate hike would be good for the economy. Respondents from younger generations, however, were not so positive about the increase.

In August, Steven Szakaly, the National Automobile Dealers Association’s chief economist, said he didn’t believe even a 50 basis-point increase would do much to stunt auto sales, noting that automakers would likely roll out additional finance incentives to keep cars affordable for car buyers.

Alec Guitierrez, senior market analyst of automotive insights for Kelley Blue Book, said even a full percentage-point increase would have a negligible effect. “The Fed’s decision to keep rates steady is welcome news to potential car shoppers who have relied on longer term loans and low interest rates to offset the rising cost of new vehicles,” he said in a statement issued to F&I and Showroom, noting that the average new car sells for more than $33,000.

“Although the Fed indicated that rates could rise by a quarter point by year end, this will likely have a negligible effect on the current pace of sales,” he added. “Even an interest rate increase of a full percentage point only increases the monthly payment on a $33,000 vehicle financed for 60 months by around $10 to $15, so a quarter-point increase should not scare the average consumer away.  We expect to see 17.3 million new cars sold this year, and we don’t expect the Fed decision to meaningfully impact our forecast.”

Originally posted on F&I and Showroom

More Dealer Ops

two cars on a billboard, No Hidden Fees
ComplianceMay 1, 2026

Dealer Ads and the FTC

The agency has made it clear in recent enforcement actions and warnings, in auto retail and other industries, that advertised prices must include all nonoptional costs to the consumer.

Read More →
Closeup of white car's headlight, front end
Dealer Opsby Hannah MitchellApril 17, 2026

Used Autos Supply Dwindles

The March shopping surge, despite high prices, cut into inventory by the most since the thick of the pandemic, Cox Automotive analysts calculated.

Read More →
hands making protective frame over red car, Risk Reality Check, Be Proactive, Auto Dealer Today logo
Dealer OpsApril 1, 2026

Managing Risk Effectively Through Changing Times

The variables influencing risk pricing have changed significantly over the past five years. Being proactive and responsive to emerging trends is not optional but essential.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Car key, stacks of coins, and a paper car cutout with AutoPayPlus logo, representing auto financing, loan terms, and vehicle affordability trends.
Dealer Opsby StaffMarch 31, 2026

Survey Reveals What Won't Fix What's Breaking Car Sales

AutoPayPlus says extra-long auto loans are trapping consumers and threatening the dealer trade-in cycle, and that the industry is leveraging the wrong tools to combat high MSRPs.

Read More →
Headshots of two male executives
Dealer Opsby StaffMarch 24, 2026

IA American Appoints Two Execs

Senior vice presidents of the company's agent and dealer channels chosen to support general agents and help auto dealers with sales and performance.

Read More →
Dealer Opsby StaffSeptember 8, 2025

Cox Automotive Acquires Inspection Firm

Full ownership of Alliance Inspection Management, or AiM, meant to unlock growth for Manheim inspection capabilities

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Dealer Opsby StaffAugust 26, 2025

Assurant Expands Partnership With Holman

Extended collaboration delivers training, products and performance development to 30 newly acquired Holman dealerships

Read More →
Dealer Opsby Hannah MitchellAugust 26, 2025

Franchises, Throughput Down in First Half

A handful of states see franchise growth through June, while EV sales per store boost overall business in U.S.

Read More →
Dealer OpsAugust 25, 2025

How to Build a High-Performance Sales and F&I Team

Performance and profits start with people chosen and led the right way.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Dealer Opsby Hannah MitchellAugust 19, 2025

Buy-Sells Up in Q2

Kerrigan metrics show there’s plenty of demand, though many sellers are waiting to pull the trigger.

Read More →